Fuzzy math

I don’t know exactly what happened in China, and neither do you, but I do know that the country’s official numbers just… don’t… make… sense. And AEI scholar Derek Scissors agrees:

Of the 3,309 reported deaths in China, Hubei has had 3,187 — or more than 95%.

“Cases in Hubei are nearly five times higher than outside Hubei province, which is where Wuhan is, even though the population outside Hubei is 22 times larger,” Scissors said.

“So magically, although hundreds of thousands, maybe even millions of people left Hubei, although there was no quarantine for at least a month, China doesn’t have a COVID problem except in one province,” Scissors said.

“Magically” is the word for it. We are supposed to believe that China’s draconian “lockdown” of Hubei province and the enormous sacrifices of its people somehow stopped the virus in its tracks in a country of 1.4 billion, producing less than 15,000 cases outside of Hubei.

Look at it this way. 3,309 – 3,187 = 122 coronavirus deaths in ALL of China outside of Hubei province. In all the teeming mega-cities of Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Chongqing, Chengdu, Tianjin, Nanjing, Xi’an… I could go on and on… each of them with many millions of people…

122 deaths. Right.

But China’s magical methods were so successful that the West is determined to replicate them here.

And don’t forget the international angle:

2 thoughts on “Fuzzy math

  1. American Enterprise Institute says China may be hiding coronavirus infections among common #flu and respiratory infections. Other countries are reporting as much as 60% decrease in common flu this season because of Covid19 lock downs, mask, hand washing and social distancing. So, if China is showing an increase of these ailments, then that could also be a key indicator that they are lying about coronavirus infection and death numbers.

    • Other countries are reporting as much as 60% decrease in common flu this season because of Covid19 lock downs, mask, hand washing and social distancing.

      There could be other reasons too – for example, coronavirus may be cannibalizing some of those cases!

      So, if China is showing an increase of these ailments, then that could also be a key indicator that they are lying about coronavirus infection and death numbers.

      Yep. Easy to sweep under the rug. Scissors discusses this possibility in the paper (I added a link).

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