Game over

Johan Giesecke

It’s hard for people to change their mental models when confronted with new information. But it helps when the source of that information is an authority figure — the more authoritative, the better. So, for those who are still not seeing the obvious, here is an article in the esteemed medical journal The Lancet by the former state epidemiologist of Sweden, which I assume should satisfy most people’s requirements for credibility. The key paragraph is below:

These facts have led me to the following conclusions. Everyone will be exposed to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus, and most people will become infected. COVID-19 is spreading like wildfire in all countries, but we do not see it—it almost always spreads from younger people with no or weak symptoms to other people who will also have mild symptoms. This is the real pandemic, but it goes on beneath the surface, and is probably at its peak now in many European countries. There is very little we can do to prevent this spread: a lockdown might delay severe cases for a while, but once restrictions are eased, cases will reappear. I expect that when we count the number of deaths from COVID-19 in each country in 1 year from now, the figures will be similar, regardless of measures taken.

My takeaway: all of the radical interventions to contain this virus — from the Stalinist lockdowns in China and India, to the high-tech public health panopticon in South Korea, to the police-state hilarity in England, to the mass business closures and “social distancing” rules in the US — all of it, absolutely all of it has been completely and utterly pointless in terms of its stated purpose of containing the virus. The virus can’t and won’t be contained.

From the above, it follows that the interventions should stop — immediately! They never should have been done in the first place — except, of course, for protecting nursing homes (which New York State and other places infamously failed to do). Furthermore, all the scaremongering needs to end — the live updates of death and infection figures, the media and social media hysteria, the alarming headlines about the mysterious damage this disease might or might not do — which is pointless to dwell on, because people can’t avoid being exposed to the virus, and the chances of dying from it are so very low.

All the talk about mass testing and contact tracing is a totalitarian absurdity. There are 1.37 million confirmed cases in the US. Expanded testing will reveal millions more cases. Assuming we can successfully contact trace all of those millions of people, this theoretical (and impossible) process will identify tens or hundreds of millions of contacts. We are not going to forcibly quarantine, say, 100 million people, or make them stay home from work. To attempt such a thing would require inconceivable, Maoist interventions that would destroy American society. But without large-scale quarantines, what’s the point of testing everyone? There is none.

While we’re at it, let’s drop the talk of a “new normal.” No, we are not entering a new normal, we are going back to the OLD normal where Americans are allowed to leave their homes for any reason or no reason, eat at restaurants, worship at churches, gather, congregate and interact with their fellow human beings, minus the face coverings and the bizarre and complicated social-distancing rituals — except, of course, for those who prefer to cover their faces and stay isolated. But they will be a minority — hopefully.

Above all, the new cult of “social distancing” should be resisted. Treating every American like a disease vector is not going to save us. Forcing shoppers to stand six feet apart from each other and curbing elevator occupancy is not going to stop this virus. Making normal, everyday social interactions impossible or de facto illegal is not going to improve public health. Individuals must reject this intensifying campaign to atomize and destroy society through pointless, humiliating behavior controls that create distance between human organisms but, in reality, cannot meaningfully contain the virus — and in the long run will kill more people than the alleged pandemic itself.

We need to be clear that these measures are stupid and counterproductive. If you doubt this, please read the above article by Johan Giesecke again and think through the implications. We are all going to be exposed to this virus. The only way to avoid it, perhaps, is to become an anchorite in a distant cave or desert — but by the time you get there, you will have been exposed anyway — unless you wear a hazmat suit en route. But you won’t do that, because that would be insane.

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