A wee table

From the CDC (figures as of Sept. 10. 2020):

AgeInfection Fatality Ratio (Current Best Estimate)
0-19 years 0.003%
20-49 years0.02%
50-69 years0.5%
70+ years5.4%

You read that correctly. People under the age of 50 have a 0.02% (zero point zero two percent, or two hundredths of one percent) or less chance of dying from a SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Remember, this is why we shut down the world, rather than, say, allowing old people to self-isolate for a bit.

The incompetence of the CDC

CDC headquarters campusPerhaps there is another explanation for the fact that while South Korea (population: 52 million) has somehow managed to test more than 121,000 people for coronavirus, the US (population: 333 million) had tested only 472 people as March 1 – before deciding to stop disclosing the number of tests.

Perhaps there is an explanation aside from the usual bureaucratic incompetence and/or corruption. If so, I’d like to hear it.

For the record, what I wrote last Monday (Feb 24) is now becoming the conventional wisdom:

It’s easy to mock China, but the US is comically inept. We sat on our hands for a month while China locked down hundreds of millions of people to prevent the spread of a mysterious virus. What is our plan when the pandemic starts claiming victims here? There are probably thousands of undetected cases in major cities already. I hope I’m wrong, but the US will have no one to blame but itself if this thing explodes in our faces.

Then there’s this dumbassery:

San Antonio officials say a patient who was mistakenly released from the Texas Center for Infectious Disease facility spent two hours at a mall after she was let go.

Mayor Ron Nirenberg gave a brief statement on Monday in regard to the incident. During the press conference, he said the patient went to the mall around 5:30 p.m. to 7:30 p.m. and spent most of that time sitting at the food court by herself. Officials add she also went to a local hotel.

At least three people came into contact with her at the hotel, and even with that, the risk factor is low.

On Sunday, when the news broke, Nirenberg said that the patient was released from isolation at a local healthcare facility Saturday because she met the criteria for release, including two negative test results.

However, the patient later returned to isolation after a pending, subsequent lab test came up positive for the virus that causes COVID-19.

“The fact that the CDC allowed the public to be exposed to a patient with a positive COVID-19 reading is unacceptable,” Nirenberg said.

The CDC says they are retesting the individual.

The US has not been taking this situation seriously enough. We will pay the price.